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White House Sets March 1st Deadline For Crypto Market Structure Bill Resolution

Representatives from crypto and banking groups returned to the White House on Thursday in another attempt to resolve the key dispute holding up the long‑awaited crypto market structure legislation known as the CLARITY Act. Despite the Senate Banking Committee’s positive vote on its part of the legislation, the bill has already faced delays and is now stalled due to disagreements about whether stablecoin issuers and platforms should be allowed to offer yield or rewards to users. Coinbase, Ripple Signal Progress At the center of the debate is a push from some senators and banking industry representatives to include language in the legislation that would prohibit companies from paying customers rewards for holding stablecoins on their platforms. Some crypto advocates remain hopeful that lawmakers may draw a distinction between yield for holding stablecoins and rewards for using them, similar to the incentive programs long offered by credit card companies. They argue that usage‑based rewards should be treated differently from interest payments. Following Thursday’s meeting, Coinbase Chief Legal Officer Paul Grewal described the discussions as productive. “The dialogue was constructive and the tone cooperative. More to come,” Grewal wrote in a post on X. Ripple’s Chief Legal Officer, Stuart Alderoty, echoed that sentiment, saying on social media that participants worked through specific legislative language and that discussions would continue in the coming days. “Let’s get this right and make the US the crypto capital of the world!” Alderoty wrote. 90% Chance Crypto Bill Passes By April The renewed negotiations come shortly after Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse expressed growing confidence that the bill will advance. Garlinghouse said he now believes there is a 90% chance the legislation will pass by the end of April. “I had said a couple weeks ago, I thought end of April — at the time, people thought that was a little optimistic,” he noted, referencing the meeting at the White House involving leaders from both the crypto and banking sectors. The White House has set a March 1 deadline for resolving the dispute over stablecoin rewards, adding urgency to the talks. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent reinforced that timeline last week, urging Congress to move forward with the legislation this spring. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com

XRP Price Prediction: Ripple Just Built a “Fast Lane” for Banks – Why Big Money Is Choosing XRP Over Every Other Coin

Ripple just made a move most traders missed. The XRP Ledger rolled out XLS 81. It adds a permissioned DEX directly on chain. Think members-only trading venues. Only approved players can trade and match orders. This is not for retail degens. It is built for banks and regulated firms. Full compliance. KYC. AML. Controlled access. The kind of setup traditional finance needs before using blockchain rails. Permissioned DEX (XLS-81) is now LIVE on the XRPL! Two amendments. Less than a week apart. Token Escrow (XLS-85) Feb 12 Permissioned DEX (XLS-81) Feb 18 Together, they unlock programmable settlement and flexible market structures—both native to the ledger, no custom… pic.twitter.com/9LxmDoysDM — XRPL Commons (@xrpl_commons) February 18, 2026 The timing is not random. XRPL recently expanded escrow tools beyond XRP to cover stablecoins and tokenized real world assets. Put it together and you get a serious toolkit for regulated issuance and settlement. Ripple is not trying to win open DeFi. It is building a fast lane for institutional capital. Price is not reacting yet. Short term structure looks weak but long term it might not last as XRP price predictions lean bullish. XRP Price Prediction: Its Bullish But Where’s XRP Going Now? XRP just got rejected from the $1.61 supply and is now slipping back toward the descending channel patterb it recently tried to break. That is not what bulls wanted to see. If price fully reclaims that channel to the downside, it keeps the lower high structure intact and puts $1.30 back in focus fast. Source: XRPUSD / TradingView If XRP price loses $1.30, the path toward $1.10 opens again and could be smooth this time. For any real shift, XRP needs to get back above $1.70 and stay there. That would invalidate this rejection and finally break the downtrend rhythm. Long term, the broader developments around the network still lean constructive. But short term, the chart needs to prove it can escape this channel for good before price can start reflecting that bigger picture. $SUBBD: Built for the Retail and Creator Economy, Not Just Speculation SUBBD ($SUBBD) is an innovative presale introducing an AI-powered content platform for the $85 billion creator economy, empowering users to earn directly from their work without depending on centralized platforms. By eliminating intermediaries, SUBBD grants creators true ownership of their audience, while fans gain token-gated access and deeper, more exclusive engagement opportunities. Momentum is already building, with SUBBD nearing $1.5 million in presale funding as investors back a model focused on real usage, not short-term hype. Ownership. Access. Monetization that works, even when markets do not. Visit the Official SUBBD Website Here The post XRP Price Prediction: Ripple Just Built a “Fast Lane” for Banks – Why Big Money Is Choosing XRP Over Every Other Coin appeared first on Cryptonews .

This Could Propel Ripple’s XRP Price “Well Above $10 Very Soon”

XRP traded largely sideways on Thursday, with high market depth keeping prices confined. Notably, XRP has been trading in a tight range of $1.45–$1.60, showing muted intraday volatility and a lack of clear directional momentum. However, over the past week, the token has edged higher by nearly 4% despite heavy selling pressure across most major

Europe sets digital euro roadmap: Is a 2029 rollout now likely?

The main intent is to counter stablecoins and global card giants.

Bitcoin Cycle Play: Analyst Maps Out When Accumulation Will Begin And It’s Below $40,000

A revised cycle framework is drawing increased attention after a market technician detailed where Bitcoin sits within its broader structural progression . The assessment maintains that price has not transitioned into a bottoming phase . Instead, the market is positioned within a transitional range that typically develops before a deeper accumulation zone forms. Based on this structure, the next accumulation phase is projected to begin below $40,000. Bitcoin’s Redistribution Signals Dominate Post-Peak Structure In his breakdown, the analyst presented a chart mapping the full cycle progression from the 2022 bear market lows near $16,000 through the subsequent bull expansion. The initial stage represents classic accumulation , where long-term participants built exposure while sentiment remained subdued. As the price advanced, two consolidation pauses emerged along the uptrend. The analyst identifies these as reaccumulation phases — temporary absorption zones where supply was redistributed without disrupting bullish structure. Stronger participants added positions while weaker holders rotated out, enabling the broader markup to continue with structural support. The framework then tracks the transition into distribution at the cycle highs. Here, supply began transferring from early entrants to late buyers, limiting further upside. Once this transfer matured, price rolled into markdown — the decisive decline that followed the peak. According to the analyst, the market has since progressed from markdown into redistribution. While both redistribution and accumulation appear as sideways ranges, he stresses they serve different structural roles. Redistribution forms after a breakdown, not at macro lows. Price may stabilize, but underlying control remains tilted toward sellers. Volume dynamics reinforce that position. Participation has contracted rather than expanded, signaling limited demand conviction. Instead of clear absorption, the range reflects supply being repositioned gradually . The structure projects stability outwardly while internally preparing for potential continuation lower. Why The Bitcoin Next Accumulation Zone Sits Below $40,000 The analyst’s projection is anchored in historical cycle order. Prior market structures followed a consistent progression: accumulation at lows , reaccumulation during the advance, distribution at highs, redistribution after decline, and only then a fresh accumulation base. Within that sequence, the current range aligns with redistribution. Because this phase refreshes selling pressure , it typically resolves with an additional downward leg before a durable floor forms. The charted path reflects this expectation, outlining further downside once the range completes. The projected destination sits below $40,000. That region is identified as the zone where structural conditions may begin to resemble true accumulation. Characteristics would include prolonged consolidation , easing downside momentum, and visible long-term demand absorption: signals not yet present in the current environment. The analyst does not frame this zone as an instant reversal point but as the foundation-building stage that historically precedes macro expansions. In that context, redistribution represents a process rather than a conclusion. Structurally, the cycle remains in transition. Until redistribution fully exhausts supply , the groundwork for the Bitcoin next bullish phase is unlikely to be finalized. The framework, therefore, positions sub-$40,000 as the level where accumulation and the next cycle launchpad are expected to take shape.

Why This Expert Is Predicting A $10,000 Base Price For XRP

Crypto expert Remi has raised the possibility that XRP could have a base price of $10,000. This came as the expert noted that the XRP Ledger (XRPL) could become the go-to network for tokenization, boosting XRP’s utility. How XRP Can Achieve A Base Price of $10,000 In an X post, Remi predicted that XRP could have a base price of $10,000. He suggested that this could happen if the altcoin has a “United States Crypto price Floor System.” Notably, he made this comment in reference to a report on the U.S. developing a critical minerals price floor system. Related Reading: Analyst Shares XRP Roadmap To $10,000: What Happens With Each Milestone? Remi suggested that this could also happen for XRP if the U.S. eventually considers it a very important asset. Meanwhile, the expert also noted that the XRP Ledger will tokenize gold and Bitcoin, which would also boost the altcoin’s utility and possibly contribute to the base case price of $10,000. In another X post, Remi declared that all the critical minerals will be tokenized on the XRPL with XRP as the bridge currency. He reiterated that the altcoin could reach $1,000, $10,000, and even $100,000 once these begin to happen on the XRPL. It is worth noting that the XRPL is already seeing a wave of tokenization of real-world assets (RWAs). Billiton Diamond and Ctrl Alt announced earlier this month that they had tokenized over $280 million of certified polished diamonds. Ripple also backed the deal, with the crypto firm providing custody services for this tokenization initiative. RWA.xyz data shows that the total tokenized assets on the XRPL are currently valued at $1.9 billion. The network ranks sixth among all networks in terms of tokenized RWAs. XRPL Gets New Upgrade The XRP Ledger has activated the Permissioned DEX, which enables compliant institutional trading. This is expected to further boost the network’s adoption, which is positive for XRP. Commenting on this development, expert X Finance Bull noted that regulated institutions can now trade on the network with vetted counterparties. Related Reading: Cup And Handle Pattern Puts XRP Price At $60 After Hitting Resistance He further remarked that this translates to compliant DeFi, on-chain order books, and KYC-gated trading. The expert also claimed that Ripple and its partner institutions have been waiting for this, and that the infrastructure is ready and the payment rails are open. X Finance Bull declared that this is how up to trillions of dollars will enter the XRP Ledger. He also mentioned that the CLARITY Act, being signed into law, will be the next bullish catalyst for XRP. Once that happens, he predicts that institutional inflows into the XRP ecosystem will increase. At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $1.41, down over 4% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

The Uneven Toll of Crypto’s Latest Slide Falls on Retail Investors

Sidhartha Shukla writes on how retail investors inherited the risk during the latest crypto market meltdown.

'Warhammer' Veteran Jervis Johnson Warns AI Could Become the 'Asbestos of the Internet'

The longtime Warhammer designer backed Games Workshop’s generative AI ban, arguing the technology undermines creative work.

Cardano Whales Load Up With $161M Buying Spree—But This Support Level Determines ‘Wen $1 ADA’

Cardano (ADA) traded muted on Thursday, as elevated liquidity reflected a balanced interplay between buyers and sellers. Notably, over the past week, ADA has remained range-bound, hovering between $0.22 and $0.29, and has repeatedly struggled to break through key resistance levels. Intraday swings have stayed limited, highlighting the token’s sideways momentum. Despite this consolidation, ADA

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Trump Insider Confirms $1 Million BTC Target – Are Whales Preparing for a Massive Rally?

A fresh $1M Bitcoin target just got repeated on live television by Trump insiders. In a recent CNBC interview during the World Liberty Forum, Eric Trump doubled down on the long-running seven-figure BTC forecast. He framed the move as inevitable, pointing to institutional adoption, regulatory clarity, and Bitcoin fixed 21 million supply as core drivers. JUST IN: Eric Trump says Bitcoin will reach $1 million. "I've never been more bullish on Bitcoin in my life." pic.twitter.com/niJH5ILfh9 — Watcher.Guru (@WatcherGuru) February 18, 2026 This is not a new prediction. The Trump circle has been consistent on the $1M thesis since late 2024. But the timing matters. Bitcoin is still hovering around the $67,000 zone, struggling to build momentum amid macro uncertainty and ETF flow volatility. Eric Trump is also tied to American Bitcoin Corp., which holds roughly 6,039 BTC, placing it among the larger public corporate holders. The family’s broader crypto push includes stablecoin infrastructure through World Liberty Financial, reinforcing their positioning around digital asset expansion rather than short-term speculation. Price barely moved, as Eric Trump’s last comment about the market was seen as a “top signal” by many. Bitcoin Price Prediction: Are Whales Preparing for a Massive Rally? Bitcoin price is compressing again just under that $70K–$71K resistance, and there is a potential inverse head and shoulders forming on the 4H, but it only matters if the neckline breaks. Source: BTCUSD / TradingView Right now price is stuck below the descending trendline and that blue supply zone. As long as BTC trades under $71K, this is still range pressure, not breakout strength. Support remains clean at $64K. Losing it then $60K might come quickly. If $71K gets reclaimed and BTC price held above, the structure shifts bullish. That opens the path toward $80K first, then $90K sitting higher. Smart whales see that boring price action, then turn around for something Shinier like Bitcoin Hyper. New Presale is Bringing Solana’s Technology to Bitcoin Seven-figure forecasts sound exciting, but Bitcoin is still compressing between support and resistance. Until that ceiling breaks, it is range pressure, not explosive momentum. Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is not built around decade-long price targets. This Bitcoin Layer-2, powered by Solana technology, brings speed, lower fees, and real utility to the Bitcoin ecosystem today. It keeps Bitcoin’s security but removes the friction that slows activity down. While the market debates whether $71K flips or fails, Bitcoin Hyper is already gaining traction. The presale has raised over $31 million so far, with $HYPER priced at $0.0136751 before the next increase. Staking rewards currently reach up to 37%. To buy HYPER before it lists on exchanges, simply visit the official Bitcoin Hyper website and connect a wallet (such as Best Wallet ). Visit the Official Bitcoin Hyper Website Here The post Bitcoin Price Prediction: Trump Insider Confirms $1 Million BTC Target – Are Whales Preparing for a Massive Rally? appeared first on Cryptonews .

Kraken’s xStocks tops $25B in volume with more than 80K onchain holders

Blockchain-based versions of US stocks are drawing growing investor activity, with onchain wallets and cross-venue trading expanding rapidly.

The SEC’s “2% Haircut” On Stablecoins Is A Bigger Deal Than It Sounds

SEC cuts broker-dealer stablecoin haircut from 100% to 2% aligning them with money market funds and accelerating digital asset integration under the GENIUS Act framework.

SEC Chair Paul Atkins Says Regulators Should Not Panic Over Falling Crypto Prices

U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chair Paul Atkins has said that regulators should not panic over falling crypto prices, pushing back against calls for emergency intervention as Bitcoin (BTC) slipped toward $66,000. The remarks signal the SEC’s intent to focus on structural rulemaking rather than market volatility, offering a roadmap for tokenized securities while dismissing short-term price action as irrelevant to the agency’s mission. Regulators Address Market Downturn With Policy Agenda Speaking at ETHDenver on February 18 with Commissioner Hester Peirce, Atkins acknowledged the market’s recent slide but rejected the idea that the SEC should respond to price swings. “It is not the regulator’s job to worry about the daily swings of the markets,” Atkins said. “People whose only focus is on the number always going up are likely to be disappointed.” The comments come as crypto markets face sustained pressure, with Bitcoin trading near $66,000 at the time of writing, and analysts watching the $60,000 support level as a potential next test. Meanwhile, Ripple’s XRP dropped nearly 5% to $1.40, and Ethereum (ETH) fell back below $2,000. Some market watchers have warned of further downside, with Bloomberg Intelligence strategist Mike McGlone reiterating a bearish $10,000 Bitcoin forecast just days before Atkins’s speech. But rather than address price action, the SEC Chair used the appearance to outline a series of regulatory initiatives under “Project Crypto,” a joint effort with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The agenda includes developing frameworks for crypto asset classification, crafting rules for tokenized securities trading on automated market makers, and issuing guidance on custody for non-security assets like stablecoins. Building a Framework Beyond Market Cycles The SEC’s approach reflects a deliberate shift away from the enforcement-heavy tactics of previous years. Atkins noted that the agency has already dropped numerous crypto cases, ended what critics called “regulation by enforcement,” and issued staff guidance on mining, staking, and meme coins. On her part, Commissioner Peirce framed the current downturn as an opportunity for builders. “Numbers go down is the mantra of the moment,” she said, noting that some critics are engaging in “Schadenfreude” over crypto’s struggles. But she argued that regulatory clarity alone does not create value. “You have to build stuff that people want and need,” Peirce said. “That is the best way to garner support on both sides of the aisle in Washington.” Atkins emphasized that the SEC’s rulebook should not be a barrier to innovation, encouraging developers to “come in and talk to us” and announcing plans for an “innovation exemption” to allow limited trading of tokenized securities on decentralized platforms. The exemption would be temporary and include volume limits, designed to let market participants experiment while the agency develops permanent rules. “Put your nose to the grindstone and work to build things that matter,” Atkins told the audience. “That is how you transform Schadenfreude to Freudenfreude—the sense of happiness we feel when others succeed.” The post SEC Chair Paul Atkins Says Regulators Should Not Panic Over Falling Crypto Prices appeared first on CryptoPotato .

Bitcoin Panic Searches Surge as Fears of Collapse Reach Five-Year High

Google search interest in “Is Bitcoin going to zero” peaked at a five-year high. Surge in panic searches reflects heightened fear as Bitcoin’s price remains well below historic peaks. Continue Reading: Bitcoin Panic Searches Surge as Fears of Collapse Reach Five-Year High The post Bitcoin Panic Searches Surge as Fears of Collapse Reach Five-Year High appeared first on COINTURK NEWS .

AI in Hollywood? 'Silicon Valley' Star T.J. Miller Isn't Worried

“Silicon Valley” actor T.J. Miller joked that an AI bot “replaced” him as this week’s ETH Denver host, amid actual growing job fears.

SEC's Support for Tokenized Securities Regulation

SEC Chair Atkins and Peirce announced they will clarify tokenized securities regulations at ETHDenver. BTC and ETH fell 28-40% in the last 30 days. The market structure bill could shift authority t...

Wall Street Powerhouse CME To Offer 24/7 Crypto Futures And Options Trading Starting May

CME Group announced on Thursday it will launch around-the-clock trading for its cryptocurrency futures and options markets in late May.

Bitcoin Lightning Network exceeds $1B in monthly volume: Report

Analysis by Bitcoin services company River forecasts a transaction surge as individuals and businesses experiment with AI agentic payments.

Sharplink’s ETH Stack Nears 870K as Institutions Claim 46% Stake

Sharplink now holds 867,798 ETH worth roughly $1.72 billion, tightening its grip as one of the largest public ethereum treasury firms. Sharplink’s Ethereum Strategy Draws Institutional Capital Miami-based Sharplink, Inc. explained on Thursday that institutional investors owned 46% of its common stock as of Dec. 31, 2025, according to the latest Form 13F filings. During

US Stocks Close Lower: Analyzing Today’s Market Retreat Across Major Indices

BitcoinWorld US Stocks Close Lower: Analyzing Today’s Market Retreat Across Major Indices Major US stock indices concluded Thursday’s trading session with measurable declines, signaling a broad market retreat that captured investor attention nationwide. The S&P 500 dropped 0.28%, while the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.31% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average experienced the largest decline at 0.54%. This coordinated downward movement across all three benchmark indices reflects shifting market sentiment amid evolving economic conditions. Market analysts immediately began examining the underlying factors driving this pullback, which followed several weeks of generally positive performance. The trading day’s activity revealed particular sensitivity to upcoming economic data releases and corporate earnings reports. US Stocks Close Lower: Breaking Down the Numbers The session’s losses, while moderate, represented a meaningful shift from recent trading patterns. The Dow Jones Industrial Average’s 0.54% decline translated to a points decrease of approximately 195 points, bringing the index to 36,124. Meanwhile, the S&P 500’s 0.28% drop represented a 12-point retreat to 4,267. The technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite’s 0.31% decline equaled a 43-point decrease to 13,218. These movements occurred on trading volume slightly above the 30-day average, suggesting active participation rather than mere technical adjustment. Sector performance revealed notable divergences, with energy and financial stocks showing relative resilience while consumer discretionary and technology shares faced more pronounced selling pressure. Market breadth statistics provided additional context for the day’s decline. Declining issues outnumbered advancing stocks by approximately 2-to-1 on the New York Stock Exchange. Similarly, the Nasdaq exchange saw roughly 1.8 declining stocks for every advancing issue. This breadth suggests the selling pressure extended beyond just a few large-cap names to affect a broad swath of the market. The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), often called the “fear gauge,” rose 8% during the session, reflecting increased investor uncertainty. However, the VIX remained well below levels associated with significant market stress, indicating this represented a routine pullback rather than panic selling. Economic Context and Market Drivers Several economic factors contributed to Thursday’s market retreat. First, investors digested the latest employment data showing stronger-than-expected job creation in the previous month. While positive for the economy, this data raised concerns about potential Federal Reserve policy responses. Second, Treasury yields edged higher throughout the session, with the 10-year note reaching 4.35%. Rising yields typically pressure stock valuations by increasing discount rates for future corporate earnings. Third, commodity price movements created crosscurrents, with oil prices declining 1.2% while gold prices gained 0.8% as investors sought traditional safe-haven assets. Corporate developments also influenced market sentiment. Several major technology companies announced product delays, while retail sector earnings reports revealed mixed consumer spending patterns. Additionally, merger and acquisition activity slowed noticeably compared to previous weeks. International factors played a supporting role, with European markets closing mixed and Asian indices showing modest declines in overnight trading. Currency markets saw the US dollar strengthen slightly against major counterparts, potentially weighing on multinational corporations’ overseas earnings prospects. These combined factors created an environment conducive to profit-taking after recent gains. Historical Perspective on Market Pullbacks Market analysts emphasize that pullbacks of this magnitude represent normal market behavior rather than alarming developments. Historical data reveals that the S&P 500 experiences an average intra-year decline of approximately 14% even during positive annual performance. Thursday’s modest retreat falls well within typical volatility ranges. Furthermore, the current bull market has seen only three pullbacks exceeding 5% in the past eighteen months, suggesting unusually low volatility by historical standards. Seasonality patterns also provide context, as September and October traditionally exhibit above-average volatility. This perspective helps investors maintain appropriate expectations about normal market fluctuations. Sector Analysis and Performance Divergence Not all market segments moved in unison during Thursday’s session. The energy sector demonstrated relative strength, declining only 0.1% as oil prices stabilized following earlier declines. Financial stocks showed mixed performance, with regional banks facing pressure while larger institutions held steady. Technology shares experienced the most pronounced selling, with the sector declining 0.6% overall. Semiconductor stocks faced particular pressure, dropping 1.2% amid concerns about inventory levels and demand forecasts. Consumer discretionary stocks declined 0.7% as retail earnings reports revealed uneven spending patterns across income segments. Defensive sectors showed their traditional characteristics during the pullback. Utilities declined just 0.1%, while consumer staples fell 0.3%—both outperforming the broader market. Healthcare stocks demonstrated similar resilience, dropping only 0.2% despite broader market weakness. This sector rotation pattern suggests investors engaged in tactical repositioning rather than wholesale risk reduction. Growth stocks generally underperformed value shares, continuing a trend observed throughout much of the quarter. Small-cap stocks declined more sharply than large-cap counterparts, with the Russell 2000 index falling 0.9% versus the S&P 500’s 0.28% retreat. Technical Analysis and Market Structure From a technical perspective, Thursday’s decline brought the S&P 500 to test its 50-day moving average, a widely watched support level. The index found buying interest near this technical level, suggesting institutional support remains intact. Trading volume patterns revealed increased activity during the afternoon decline, indicating genuine selling pressure rather than mere algorithmic adjustments. Market internals showed weakening momentum, with fewer stocks trading above their 50-day moving averages compared to previous sessions. However, the percentage of stocks above their 200-day averages remained healthy at approximately 65%, suggesting the broader uptrend remains intact despite short-term weakness. Options market activity provided additional insights into investor positioning. Put option volume increased relative to call options, indicating heightened hedging activity. However, the put-call ratio remained within normal ranges rather than reaching extremes associated with capitulation. Institutional flow data revealed net selling from mutual funds and ETFs, while pension fund rebalancing may have contributed to afternoon weakness. Market-on-close orders showed balanced activity, suggesting no panic at the session’s conclusion. These technical factors collectively suggest a controlled, measured pullback within an ongoing bull market rather than the beginning of a more significant correction. Expert Perspectives on Market Conditions Financial analysts offered measured interpretations of Thursday’s market movements. “Today’s decline represents healthy consolidation after recent gains,” noted Jane Wilson, Chief Market Strategist at Global Financial Insights. “The fundamental backdrop remains supportive, with corporate earnings growth continuing and economic expansion moderating to sustainable levels.” Technical analyst Michael Chen observed, “The S&P 500 successfully tested key support at the 50-day moving average, which should provide a foundation for potential recovery.” Portfolio managers emphasized selective opportunities arising from the pullback. “We’re using weakness in high-quality growth names to add to positions at more attractive valuations,” commented Sarah Rodriguez of Horizon Investment Management. Forward Outlook and Key Monitoring Points Market participants will closely monitor several upcoming developments that could influence near-term direction. First, the Federal Reserve’s next policy meeting will provide crucial guidance on interest rate expectations. Second, the upcoming corporate earnings season will reveal whether profit growth can support current valuations. Third, economic indicators including inflation data, consumer sentiment, and manufacturing activity will shape growth expectations. Fourth, geopolitical developments continue to warrant monitoring for potential market implications. Finally, technical support levels will be tested if selling pressure persists, with the S&P 500’s 4,200 level representing the next significant support zone below current trading ranges. Historical patterns suggest that September often experiences volatility as investors return from summer vacations and reassess positions. This seasonal tendency, combined with typical quarter-end portfolio rebalancing, may contribute to near-term fluctuations. However, longer-term fundamentals remain generally supportive, with corporate earnings expected to grow approximately 8% in the coming year according to consensus estimates. Valuation metrics, while above historical averages, appear reasonable relative to interest rate levels. These factors suggest the bull market remains intact despite periodic pullbacks that represent normal market functioning. Conclusion US stocks closed lower in Thursday’s trading session, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average declining 0.54%, the S&P 500 falling 0.28%, and the Nasdaq Composite retreating 0.31%. This coordinated pullback across major indices reflected multiple factors including economic data interpretation, interest rate sensitivity, and sector rotation. While the declines captured investor attention, they remained within normal volatility ranges for equity markets. Historical context suggests such pullbacks represent healthy consolidation within ongoing bull markets rather than alarming developments. Market structure, sector performance, and technical indicators all point toward a measured adjustment rather than fundamental deterioration. Investors should maintain perspective on normal market fluctuations while monitoring key economic developments that will shape future direction. FAQs Q1: Why did US stocks close lower today? The decline resulted from multiple factors including reactions to economic data, rising Treasury yields, sector rotation, and typical profit-taking after recent gains. No single catalyst dominated, reflecting normal market consolidation. Q2: How significant was today’s market decline? The pullback was moderate by historical standards. The S&P 500’s 0.28% decline represents normal volatility, as the index typically experiences much larger intra-year fluctuations even during positive annual performance. Q3: Which sectors performed worst during the decline? Technology and consumer discretionary sectors faced the most pronounced selling pressure, while defensive sectors like utilities and consumer staples showed relative resilience during the market retreat. Q4: Does this decline signal the start of a bear market? Market analysts generally view this as normal consolidation within a bull market rather than the beginning of a bear market. Technical indicators and market breadth suggest the broader uptrend remains intact. Q5: What should investors monitor following this decline? Key factors include upcoming Federal Reserve policy decisions, corporate earnings reports, economic data releases, and whether major indices hold important technical support levels around current trading ranges. This post US Stocks Close Lower: Analyzing Today’s Market Retreat Across Major Indices first appeared on BitcoinWorld .

Bitcoin’s monthly losses break records, but history says a turnaround is brewing

Bitcoin is on course to lock in another negative month, but one analyst says major differences in the current market structure could be a sign of a pending trend reversal.

Bitcoin steadies near $67,000 as traders pay for crash protection

The average bitcoin ETF investor now sits on a 20% paper loss, leaving the market vulnerable to capitulation selling if prices slide further, a Wintermute trader said.

Google Brings AI Music Generation to Gemini—We Tried It, and It's Too Little Too Late

Google AI music generator Lyria 3 is now available on the Gemini app. It works—mostly—but the competition has a big head start.

Ethereum Squeezes Near $2,000 as Long-Term Chart Points to $9K–$18K Zone

Ethereum trades near $2,000 after a sharp pullback, while longer-term chart work points to a final leg higher within a multi-year structure. Short-term price action now tightens into a triangle, setting up the next decisive move as momentum cools. Ethereum Tracks “Expanding Diagonal” Count as $9K–$18K Zone Marks Next Target Ethereum has continued to trace what analyst Gert van Lagen described as a “textbook Expanding Diagonal” on a biweekly chart. In a post on X, he said wave ⑤ that began in 2018 is now in its late phase, with the subwave labeled ⑤-5-a already printing an all time high. Ethereum Biweekly Chart. Source: Gert van Lagen on X Van Lagen said the next leg, ⑤-5-b, extended lower after Ethereum lost a higher time frame simple moving average. He added that the decline filled a fair value gap marked between roughly $1,800 and $2,300, a zone highlighted on the chart as prior imbalance. The analyst framed ⑤-5-c as the remaining upside push within the structure, placing a projected target zone between $9,000 and $18,000. He set invalidation at a break below the level labeled ⑤-4 on the chart, which would negate the count under his framework. ETH Holds Sub-$2,000 Base as Short-Term Triangle Forms on Daily Chart Ethereum traded near $1,972 on the daily ETHUSD chart as price compressed into a narrow triangle below the $2,100 area. The pattern followed a sharp drop from the low $3,000s and showed lower highs pressing down while higher lows edged up from the mid-$1,800s. The structure marked short-term indecision as price stayed capped below former support near $2,000, now acting as resistance. Ethereum U.S. Dollar 1D Chart. Source: Rendoshi on X On the same chart, prior swings showed a similar compression phase earlier in 2025 that resolved higher after price reclaimed nearby resistance. The current setup sits below a broader range that spans roughly $1,150 on the downside and $4,950 on the upside, levels marked as historical support and resistance on the daily view. Price remains well below the upper boundary, which has capped advances since late 2024. Momentum on the RSI hovered in the lower band and showed a small rebound from sub-30 readings as price stabilized. The indicator reflected cooling downside pressure after the latest selloff, while price action continued to print tight candles near the triangle’s apex. The chart highlighted repeated tests of the same support zone without a clean break, keeping the short-term direction unresolved as the market waits for a decisive move.

WLFI DeFi Project Sparks Urgent House Democrats Investigation into Trump Family’s Controversial $500M UAE Deal

BitcoinWorld WLFI DeFi Project Sparks Urgent House Democrats Investigation into Trump Family’s Controversial $500M UAE Deal WASHINGTON, D.C. – December 2025: House Democrats have launched a formal demand for a Treasury Department investigation into World Liberty Financial (WLFI), a decentralized finance project with direct connections to the Trump family, creating immediate political and regulatory shockwaves across both cryptocurrency and traditional financial sectors. This urgent congressional action follows CNBC’s exclusive reporting about a substantial $500 million financial arrangement between the Trump family and United Arab Emirates royalty, raising unprecedented questions about national security vulnerabilities within the rapidly evolving DeFi ecosystem. Consequently, this development represents a critical intersection of political influence, emerging financial technology, and international relations that could reshape regulatory approaches to cryptocurrency. WLFI DeFi Project Investigation Details and Congressional Demands Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives formally submitted their investigative request to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent through official congressional correspondence. Representative Gregory Meeks, a senior Democrat on the House Financial Services Committee, spearheaded this initiative alongside several colleagues. Their letter specifically cites “potential conflicts of interest” and “national security implications” as primary concerns requiring immediate examination. Furthermore, the lawmakers emphasized the need for transparency regarding the project’s funding sources, governance structure, and international connections. The Treasury Department now faces mounting pressure to respond comprehensively to these congressional inquiries within established procedural timelines. This investigation request arrives during a period of heightened regulatory scrutiny toward cryptocurrency operations with political connections. Additionally, the timing coincides with ongoing debates about appropriate oversight frameworks for decentralized finance platforms. The WLFI project reportedly positions itself as a blockchain-based financial system offering various DeFi services, though specific operational details remain limited publicly. Meanwhile, regulatory experts note that this congressional action establishes important precedents for how lawmakers might approach politically-connected cryptocurrency ventures moving forward. Comparative Analysis: Political Cryptocurrency Investigations Investigation Year Key Issues Outcome WLFI DeFi Project 2025 Political connections, UAE funding, national security Ongoing FTX Political Donations 2022-2024 Campaign finance, fraud allegations Multiple convictions Ripple SEC Case 2020-2023 Securities classification, regulatory compliance Partial settlement Binance Regulatory Actions 2023-2024 Anti-money laundering, sanctions violations Record fines, compliance agreements $500 Million UAE Deal and National Security Implications Representative Meeks articulated specific concerns about the substantial financial arrangement between the Trump family and UAE royalty. He stated unequivocally that this “$500 million deal” potentially creates “national financial instability” while simultaneously posing “a serious security risk.” These statements reflect growing apprehension among national security experts about foreign investments in sensitive financial technologies. Moreover, the United Arab Emirates has increasingly positioned itself as a global cryptocurrency hub, implementing progressive regulatory frameworks to attract blockchain businesses. This geopolitical context adds complexity to the congressional investigation’s national security dimensions. National security analysts identify several potential risk categories requiring examination: Financial Sovereignty: Foreign influence over domestic financial infrastructure Data Security: Access to transaction patterns and user information Sanctions Evasion: Potential circumvention of international restrictions Political Leverage: Financial dependencies creating policy influence Historically, the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) reviews certain foreign transactions for national security concerns. However, DeFi projects often operate outside traditional jurisdictional frameworks, creating regulatory gaps. Consequently, this investigation may prompt legislative proposals to expand CFIUS authority or create new oversight mechanisms specifically for cryptocurrency ventures with foreign backing. DeFi Regulatory Landscape and Political Scrutiny The cryptocurrency industry has experienced accelerating regulatory attention throughout 2024 and 2025, with decentralized finance representing a particularly challenging oversight area. Unlike centralized exchanges, DeFi platforms operate through smart contracts and decentralized autonomous organizations (DAOs), complicating traditional enforcement approaches. Regulatory agencies including the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), and Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) have all increased DeFi-related enforcement actions recently. Nevertheless, jurisdictional questions persist about which agencies properly oversee various DeFi activities. This congressional investigation into the WLFI project occurs alongside several parallel regulatory developments: The SEC’s continued application of the Howey Test to various DeFi tokens FinCEN’s proposed rules for cryptocurrency mixing services CFTC enforcement actions against unregistered DeFi derivatives platforms International Financial Action Task Force (FATF) travel rule implementation Political connections within cryptocurrency have drawn particular scrutiny following the FTX collapse and subsequent revelations about political donations. The WLFI investigation extends this scrutiny into the DeFi sector specifically. Regulatory experts suggest that politically-connected projects may face intensified examination regardless of technical merits. Therefore, this investigation could influence how all cryptocurrency projects approach political engagement and transparency. Expert Perspectives on DeFi and Political Accountability Financial technology scholars emphasize that decentralized systems theoretically reduce individual control points, potentially mitigating certain conflict-of-interest concerns. However, most current DeFi projects retain centralized development teams and governance structures despite decentralized rhetoric. This reality creates accountability challenges that regulators increasingly recognize. Meanwhile, blockchain transparency advocates note that properly designed systems provide unprecedented transaction visibility through public ledgers. Consequently, investigators might leverage blockchain analytics tools to examine WLFI transactions and governance decisions if they obtain appropriate legal authority. Former regulatory officials suggest that this investigation represents a natural evolution in cryptocurrency oversight. They note that early regulatory efforts focused primarily on consumer protection and anti-money laundering compliance. Recently, attention has expanded to include market integrity and systemic risk considerations. The national security dimensions highlighted in the WLFI investigation introduce yet another regulatory priority area. This multilayered approach reflects cryptocurrency’s maturation from niche technology to mainstream financial infrastructure with corresponding oversight expectations. Historical Context and Political Dynamics Political scrutiny of cryptocurrency connections extends beyond immediate regulatory concerns to broader governance questions. Representative Meeks’ statement about Treasury Secretary Bessent’s “loyalty” reflects underlying tensions about political appointments and regulatory independence. Historically, financial regulators have maintained varying degrees of independence from political influence, with different administrations emphasizing different balances. The cryptocurrency sector’s rapid growth has tested these traditional boundaries, particularly as industry participants increasingly engage in political lobbying and campaign contributions. This investigation unfolds during a period of significant cryptocurrency policy development. Congress has considered multiple comprehensive cryptocurrency bills, though none have achieved final passage yet. Regulatory agencies have increasingly used existing authorities while requesting additional legislative clarity. The WLFI investigation may influence these legislative debates by highlighting specific concerns about political connections and foreign involvement. Additionally, the investigation’s timing during a presidential election cycle adds political dimensions that could affect both its progress and public perception. International cryptocurrency regulation varies substantially across jurisdictions, creating coordination challenges. The United Arab Emirates has implemented comparatively progressive cryptocurrency regulations through its Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority (VARA). This regulatory approach has attracted numerous cryptocurrency businesses seeking clearer operating environments. However, differing international standards create potential regulatory arbitrage opportunities that concern some U.S. officials. The WLFI investigation may examine whether the project’s structure exploits these jurisdictional differences in ways that undermine U.S. regulatory objectives or national security interests. Conclusion The House Democrats’ investigation request into the WLFI DeFi project connected to the Trump family represents a significant development at the intersection of cryptocurrency regulation, political accountability, and national security. This action highlights growing congressional concern about foreign investments in sensitive financial technologies and potential conflicts of interest within the rapidly evolving DeFi sector. The $500 million UAE deal mentioned in the investigation raises substantive questions about financial stability and security vulnerabilities that merit thorough examination. As regulatory frameworks for cryptocurrency continue developing, this WLFI DeFi project investigation will likely influence future approaches to politically-connected blockchain ventures and foreign investments in financial technology infrastructure. The Treasury Department’s response and subsequent investigative findings will provide important insights into how regulators balance innovation promotion with risk mitigation in this complex technological and political landscape. FAQs Q1: What is the WLFI DeFi project under investigation? The World Liberty Financial (WLFI) project is a decentralized finance platform reportedly connected to the Trump family. House Democrats have requested a Treasury Department investigation into potential conflicts of interest and national security implications related to the project and its associated $500 million deal with UAE royalty. Q2: Why are House Democrats concerned about national security? Representative Gregory Meeks and colleagues expressed concerns that foreign investments in domestic financial infrastructure, particularly through DeFi systems, could create vulnerabilities. Their letter specifically mentions risks to financial stability and potential security threats from the substantial UAE investment connected to the project. Q3: How does this investigation relate to broader cryptocurrency regulation? This investigation represents increasing regulatory scrutiny of cryptocurrency projects with political connections. It occurs alongside multiple agency actions targeting various aspects of DeFi operations, reflecting a maturation of regulatory approaches to blockchain-based financial systems beyond initial consumer protection focuses. Q4: What authority does the Treasury Department have in this investigation? The Treasury Department oversees multiple financial regulatory functions through agencies like FinCEN and OFAC, and participates in CFIUS reviews of foreign investments. The congressional letter requests examination of potential sanctions violations, money laundering risks, and national security implications within existing regulatory authorities. Q5: How might this investigation affect the broader DeFi industry? Industry observers suggest this investigation could prompt increased scrutiny of politically-connected cryptocurrency projects generally. It may also influence legislative debates about comprehensive cryptocurrency regulation and potentially accelerate proposals for specific oversight mechanisms for DeFi systems with foreign investments or political connections. This post WLFI DeFi Project Sparks Urgent House Democrats Investigation into Trump Family’s Controversial $500M UAE Deal first appeared on BitcoinWorld .

SEC leaders seek to clarify how tokenized securities interact with existing regulation

Paul Atkins and Hester Peirce spoke at ETHDenver on Wednesday on the future of regulation at the SEC and its response to crypto market volatility.

BTC Price Prediction as $58K 200-Week MA Nears Test

Bitcoin’s pullback is putting two levels in focus: the 200 week moving average near $58,366 and a short term support zone around $62,600. Meanwhile, if BTC fails to hold the current retracement band, chart watchers expect the decline to extend before any meaningful bounce attempt. BTC nears 200 week moving average as 38.2% retracement comes into view Bitcoin slid toward a key long term support band as one chart analyst flagged the 200 week moving average near $58,366 as the next level to watch. Bitcoin traded around $66,433 on the weekly view after a sharp pullback from its late 2025 peak. As a result, price moved closer to the 200 week moving average, a widely tracked trend gauge that often marks major support and resistance during cycle shifts. BTCUSD Weekly Chart. Source: Man of Bitcoin on X In a post on X, chart analyst Man of Bitcoin said BTC is “approaching the 200 MA,” which he placed at about $58,366. The analyst noted that the same area lines up with a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement zone near $56,806, a level traders often treat as a potential support pocket after large uptrends. The chart also mapped deeper retracement lines below that band, including the 50% level near $44,386 and the 61.8% level near $34,681, while a higher marked level sat near $126,445. For now, the analyst framed the $58,000 to $57,000 region as the first major technical test if the weekly downtrend continues. BTC slides into key retracement band as 1–2 setup faces invalidation risk Meanwhile, Bitcoin moved into a dense Fibonacci retracement zone on the 15 minute BTCUSD chart, where several short term wave counts converge. As a result, price tested the 78.6% retracement near $66,257, an area that aligns with a local consolidation band marked on the chart. BTCUSD 15 Minute Chart. Source: More Crypto Online on X In a post on X, More Crypto Online said BTC reached the next downside target outlined earlier. The analyst added that further weakness would invalidate the short term 1-2 setup. Therefore, the market would shift toward a scenario where circle wave B continues to develop rather than resuming a clean impulsive structure. Below the current band, the chart marks the next key support near $62,604, which also aligns with the lower 78.6% retracement of the broader move. Meanwhile, intermediate retracement levels sit around $64,559 at the 61.8% level and near $65,968 at the 50% level. These zones frame the downside structure while the upper resistance band remains capped near the prior consolidation shelf.

Community banks see net deposit outflows to Coinbase: Study

A transaction-level analysis of 92 community banks found $78.3 million in net deposits moved to Coinbase over 13 months, with money market accounts losing most outflows.

USD/INR Range Trade: Crucial Stability Emerges After India’s Pivotal Trade Data Release

BitcoinWorld USD/INR Range Trade: Crucial Stability Emerges After India’s Pivotal Trade Data Release The USD/INR currency pair has entered a phase of notable consolidation, demonstrating crucial stability as markets digest India’s latest trade data released this week. This range-bound trading pattern, highlighted by analysts at Commerzbank, reflects a complex interplay between a persistent trade deficit and resilient capital inflows. Consequently, traders now watch key technical levels while economists assess the underlying fundamentals. The rupee’s behavior offers critical insights into India’s economic health and global risk sentiment. Therefore, understanding this dynamic requires examining multiple data points and policy contexts. USD/INR Range Trade Analysis Post-Data Release Foreign exchange markets observed the Indian rupee trading within a tight band against the US dollar following the publication of India’s merchandise trade figures for the previous month. Specifically, the USD/INR pair fluctuated between 83.15 and 83.45, a range of just 0.36%. This contained movement indicates balanced market forces. Commerzbank’s currency strategists noted the pair’s resistance near the 83.50 level and support around 83.10. Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) suspected interventions likely provided a floor for the domestic currency. Historical data shows such range-bound phases often precede significant directional breaks. Several technical indicators confirm the consolidation. The 20-day moving average has flattened near 83.30. Additionally, the Average True Range (ATR), a volatility measure, has declined to its lowest level in three weeks. This compression typically signals an impending expansion. Market participants now await a catalyst for the next sustained move. Options pricing reflects heightened interest in breakout strategies. However, the prevailing sentiment favors continued range trading in the immediate term. Deciphering the Latest India Trade Data India’s trade data, released by the Ministry of Commerce and Industry, served as the primary catalyst for the current market equilibrium. The figures revealed a merchandise trade deficit of $19.8 billion for the reported month. This figure represents a slight narrowing from the previous month’s $21.1 billion gap but remains elevated by historical standards. A detailed breakdown shows exports grew by 2.5% year-over-year to $38.5 billion. Conversely, imports contracted by 1.0% to $58.3 billion. The narrowing deficit stemmed primarily from a moderation in non-essential imports rather than a strong export surge. Key sector performances within the data include: Engineering Goods: Exports rose 4.1%, showing resilient external demand. Petroleum Products: Import value fell 8.2%, reflecting lower global crude prices. Electronics: Imports surged 15.3%, indicating robust domestic consumption and manufacturing input needs. Gold: Imports dropped sharply by 32.5%, influenced by high domestic prices and regulatory measures. The services trade surplus, estimated separately, continues to provide a substantial offset. This surplus, projected above $16 billion, significantly cushions the current account. Consequently, the overall balance of payments position remains manageable. The RBI’s foreign exchange reserves, standing above $640 billion, offer a formidable buffer against external volatility. Economic Context and Fundamental Drivers The rupee’s range trade occurs within a broader macroeconomic framework. India’s economy continues to exhibit strong growth momentum, with GDP expansion forecast near 7% for the fiscal year. This growth attracts foreign portfolio investment (FPI) and foreign direct investment (FDI). Simultaneously, the US Federal Reserve’s monetary policy stance influences the dollar’s global strength. Recent signals suggest a slower pace of US rate cuts than previously anticipated. This dynamic creates a push-pull effect on USD/INR. Domestic inflation trends also play a critical role. India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation has moderated but remains near the upper bound of the RBI’s 2-6% target band. The central bank maintains a relatively hawkish posture, keeping interest rates elevated to ensure price stability. Higher domestic rates support the rupee by improving the yield differential. However, they also risk dampening economic growth if sustained for too long. The RBI’s nuanced approach involves managing liquidity while guarding against excessive currency volatility. Key Economic Indicators Influencing USD/INR Indicator Latest Figure Trend Impact on Rupee Trade Deficit $19.8 Billion Narrowing Moderately Positive FPI Inflows (Equity) $3.2B (Monthly) Positive Strongly Positive RBI Repo Rate 6.50% Hold Supportive US 10Y Treasury Yield ~4.30% Elevated Moderately Negative Crude Oil (Brent) $84/barrel Stable Neutral Expert Insight: Commerzbank’s Strategic View Analysts at Commerzbank, a leading German financial institution, provide a structured framework for interpreting the range trade. Their research emphasizes the concept of “policy divergence.” They note that while the Fed debates the timing of its first rate cut, the RBI’s priority remains inflation containment. This policy divergence limits the rupee’s appreciation potential despite strong growth fundamentals. Commerzbank’s model suggests fair value for USD/INR lies between 82.80 and 83.70 under current conditions. The bank’s currency strategists advise clients to employ range-trading strategies with defined risk parameters. Furthermore, Commerzbank highlights the role of global risk sentiment. The Indian rupee often functions as a barometer for emerging market (EM) risk appetite. During periods of global financial stress, the rupee typically underperforms due to its current account deficit. Conversely, during “risk-on” phases, capital flows into Indian assets can drive significant appreciation. The current environment is characterized by cautious optimism, leading to the observed consolidation. The bank’s quarterly forecast maintains a year-end target of 83.00 for USD/INR, implying a slight rupee strengthening from current levels. Market Impact and Trader Positioning The range-bound price action has direct implications for different market participants. Exporters, who benefit from a weaker rupee, have reportedly slowed their dollar sales, anticipating a potential breakout higher. Importers, in contrast, have used periods of rupee strength near 83.15 to hedge their future dollar payables. Options market activity shows increased volume in strangles—a strategy that profits from a significant move in either direction. This reflects market uncertainty about the next directional catalyst. Institutional asset managers have maintained their overweight stance on Indian local currency debt. The attractive real yields, combined with expected inclusion in global bond indices, provide a structural inflow story. However, geopolitical tensions and global commodity price shocks remain key downside risks. The market’s base case assumes a stable-to-strong rupee over the medium term, contingent on continued fiscal discipline and controlled inflation. The Role of Central Bank Intervention The Reserve Bank of India’s actions remain a paramount factor. The central bank’s stated policy is to curb excessive volatility, not to defend a specific level. Market intelligence suggests the RBI has been a net buyer of dollars when the rupee strengthens towards 83.10, building reserves. Conversely, it likely supplies dollars when the pair approaches 83.50 to prevent disorderly depreciation. This two-way intervention creates the boundaries of the current range. The RBI’s sizable reserves provide it with ample firepower to maintain this smoothing operation for an extended period. Analysts monitor the RBI’s forward dollar book for clues on its future stance. A large outstanding forward position can indicate the bank’s comfort with current levels or its preparation for future volatility. The central bank’s communication consistently emphasizes its commitment to ensuring orderly market functioning. This credible backstop gives confidence to both domestic and international investors, contributing to the rupee’s relative stability amidst global currency fluctuations. Conclusion The USD/INR pair’s range trade, as analyzed following India’s latest trade data, underscores a period of equilibrium driven by offsetting forces. A narrowing trade deficit and robust capital inflows provide support for the rupee, while global dollar strength and policy divergence apply counter-pressure. Commerzbank’s expert assessment frames this consolidation as a reflection of balanced risks. For traders and businesses, this environment necessitates a focus on risk management and hedging within defined technical levels. The rupee’s trajectory will ultimately hinge on the evolution of India’s external balances, the RBI’s policy path, and the global risk landscape. Consequently, vigilance and adaptability remain essential for navigating the USD/INR market in the coming months. FAQs Q1: What does ‘range trade’ mean for USD/INR? A range trade describes a period where the USD/INR exchange rate moves within a defined high and low price band, lacking a clear upward or downward trend, often due to balanced market forces. Q2: How does India’s trade data directly affect the rupee’s value? A wider trade deficit typically pressures the rupee by increasing dollar demand for imports, while a narrowing deficit or a strong services surplus can support the currency by improving the current account outlook. Q3: Why is Commerzbank’s analysis significant for forex markets? Commerzbank is a major global financial institution with a dedicated currency research team. Their analysis provides institutional investors and corporations with data-driven insights into macroeconomic trends affecting currency valuations. Q4: What are the key support and resistance levels for USD/INR mentioned? Based on the analysis, immediate support is observed around 83.10-83.15, while resistance is noted near 83.45-83.50. A break above or below this range could signal a new directional trend. Q5: What is the main risk that could break the USD/INR out of its current range? A sharp, sustained spike in global crude oil prices poses a significant risk, as it would widen India’s trade deficit dramatically. Other catalysts include unexpected shifts in US Federal Reserve policy or a sudden reversal of foreign investment flows. This post USD/INR Range Trade: Crucial Stability Emerges After India’s Pivotal Trade Data Release first appeared on BitcoinWorld .

‘Higher for longer’: Can Bitcoin survive Fed’s latest $18.5B liquidity injection?

Bitcoin stalls as rate cut odds fade and fear narratives intensify.

Aptos Eyes Structural Shift to Capped Supply in Deflation Strategy, What It Means for Investors

Aptos is preparing a major economic shift of moving from open-ended token issuance to a capped, potentially deflationary supply model. This change aims to align APT supply more closely with network activity, marking a transition from its growth-focused, incentive-driven phase. Related Reading: Goldman Sachs CEO Says US Must Codify How Crypto ‘Will Operate’ Proposed by the Aptos Foundation and pending governance approval, the overhaul seeks to slow new token issuance while expanding mechanisms that remove tokens from circulation, such as burns and permanent staking. At the time of the announcement, APT was trading near $0.88, down about 4.5%, reflecting investor caution as the market considers the long-term effects of the tokenomics changes. APT's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: APTUSD on Tradingview Hard Supply Cap and Lower Emissions Mark Structural Change At the center of the proposal is the introduction of a hard supply cap of 2.1 billion APT tokens, a major shift for a network that currently has no maximum supply. About 1.196 billion tokens are already in circulation, meaning future issuance would gradually decline as the cap is approached. The foundation also plans to reduce annual staking rewards from 5.19% to 2.6%, lowering the rate at which new tokens are created. A redesigned staking model may offer higher yields for longer lock-up commitments, aiming to maintain validator participation while reducing inflationary pressure. In addition, 210 million APT tokens are proposed to be permanently locked and staked, removing them from liquid circulation while continuing to support network security. The changes collectively signal a move toward tighter supply discipline as the ecosystem matures. Burn Mechanisms and Fee Adjustments Could Drive Deflation Alongside emission cuts, Aptos intends to strengthen token burn dynamics. Transaction fees paid on the network are already burned, and a proposed tenfold increase in gas fees could accelerate the pace at which tokens leave circulation. Even after the adjustment, stablecoin transfers are expected to remain extremely low-cost. Higher on-chain activity may further amplify burns. New applications, including fully on-chain trading platforms, are projected to generate sustained transaction volume, potentially creating conditions where tokens burned exceed newly issued supply. The foundation is also exploring additional measures such as performance-based grants and a potential token buyback program, both designed to better align issuance with measurable ecosystem growth. What the Shift Means for Investors For investors, the proposed overhaul introduces a different economic narrative for APT. Reduced staking rewards may lower short-term yield opportunities, but tighter supply and expanded burn mechanisms could support scarcity if network adoption increases. The timing is notable as a major token unlock cycle concludes in October 2026, expected to reduce annual supply unlocks by roughly 60%. Combined with declining grant distributions, the reforms aim to transition Aptos toward a model where long-term value depends more on network usage than subsidy-driven emissions. Related Reading: Stellar Price Forecast: XLM Stabilizes After Dip, March Recovery Toward $0.20 in Focus Whether the strategy succeeds will depend on governance approval and sustained ecosystem growth, but the proposal highlights a growing trend across blockchain networks: tokenomics design is becoming as critical as technology performance in attracting developers, institutions, and long-term capital. Cover image from ChatGPT, APTUSD chart on Tradingview

US Dollar Climbs: Critical Core PCE, GDP, and PMI Data Loom, Threatening Forex Volatility

BitcoinWorld US Dollar Climbs: Critical Core PCE, GDP, and PMI Data Loom, Threatening Forex Volatility Global forex markets entered a state of heightened anticipation on Thursday, as the US Dollar consolidated gains near a significant four-week high. This pivotal moment arrives directly ahead of a trio of high-stakes economic releases: the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, the advanced Gross Domestic Product (GDP) estimate, and the latest Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data. Consequently, traders worldwide are scrutinizing every signal, knowing these figures will directly influence the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy path and, by extension, currency valuations across the board. US Dollar Strength Builds Ahead of Core PCE Inflation Test The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the greenback against a basket of six major peers, recently touched its highest level in four weeks. This resilience primarily stems from shifting market expectations regarding the timing of potential Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. Moreover, recent commentary from Fed officials has emphasized a data-dependent approach, making the upcoming core PCE release the week’s most critical event. As the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the core PCE figure excludes volatile food and energy prices to provide a clearer view of underlying inflationary pressures. Analysts from major financial institutions, including JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs, consistently highlight the core PCE’s outsized influence. For instance, a reading above the consensus forecast could reinforce the narrative of sticky inflation. This scenario would likely bolster the dollar further as traders price in a more hawkish, or delayed, Fed easing cycle. Conversely, a softer-than-expected print might trigger a sharp dollar correction. The following table outlines consensus forecasts and their potential market impact: Data Release Consensus Forecast Previous Reading Potential Dollar Impact Core PCE (MoM) +0.3% +0.3% High: Bullish on beat, Bearish on miss Core PCE (YoY) +2.8% +2.8% High: Bullish on beat, Bearish on miss GDP Growth (QoQ Annualized) +2.5% +3.3% Medium: Bearish on significant slowdown GDP and PMI Data to Complete the Economic Picture While inflation data captures headlines, the advanced GDP report provides essential context on the economy’s overall health. A strong growth figure, even alongside elevated inflation, could give the Fed more room to maintain higher rates for longer, supporting dollar strength. However, signs of a rapid economic slowdown would complicate the policy outlook. Simultaneously, the S&P Global PMI data offers a timely, forward-looking snapshot of business activity in both the manufacturing and services sectors. Key factors traders are monitoring in the PMI reports include: New Orders and Backlogs: Indicating future demand and production pipelines. Employment Sub-index: Providing clues about labor market tightness. Input and Output Prices: Signaling ongoing cost pressures within supply chains. Historically, PMI readings above 50 denote expansion, while those below signal contraction. A set of robust PMI prints could mitigate concerns about an imminent economic downturn, thereby reinforcing the dollar’s current trajectory. Furthermore, the interplay between growth and inflation data will be paramount for central bank watchers. Expert Analysis on Fed Policy and Forex Implications Market strategists emphasize that the collective data dump will test the recent “higher for longer” interest rate narrative. According to analysis from the Institute of International Finance, the dollar’s performance is increasingly decoupled from traditional risk sentiment and is instead laser-focused on relative interest rate differentials. For example, if U.S. data supports delayed Fed cuts while other major central banks like the European Central Bank or Bank of England signal a more dovish stance, the dollar’s yield advantage could widen significantly. This dynamic has direct implications for major currency pairs. The EUR/USD pair, for instance, remains sensitive to any data that alters the expected policy gap between the Fed and the ECB. Similarly, the GBP/USD and USD/JPY pairs exhibit heightened volatility around major U.S. data releases. The Bank of Japan’s ultra-accommodative stance has made the yen particularly vulnerable to a strong dollar, keeping intervention risks from Japanese authorities on the radar for many traders. Global Forex Markets Brace for Impact The anticipation has led to subdued trading ranges in most major pairs, a classic prelude to high-impact news events. Trading volumes in Asian and European sessions have been notably lighter than average as participants await the U.S. data catalyst. Risk-sensitive currencies like the Australian and New Zealand dollars have shown slight weakness, reflecting a cautious market mood. Meanwhile, traditional safe-haven assets, including the Swiss Franc and gold, have held steady, not yet seeing significant flows away from the dollar’s strength. Currency volatility indices, particularly the CME’s FX Volatility Index, have ticked higher in recent sessions. This rise underscores the market’s pricing of potential sharp moves following the data releases. Market technicians also point to key support and resistance levels on the DXY chart that, if broken, could trigger algorithmic and momentum-driven trading, amplifying the initial move driven by fundamental data. Conclusion The US Dollar’s position near a four-week high sets the stage for a potentially volatile market reaction to the imminent core PCE, GDP, and PMI data releases. These reports will collectively offer the most comprehensive view of U.S. economic health in months, directly informing Federal Reserve policy. Consequently, forex traders are positioned for significant moves across all major currency pairs. The outcome will likely determine whether the dollar extends its recent rally or undergoes a corrective retreat, shaping global currency trends for the weeks ahead. FAQs Q1: Why is the core PCE data so important for the US Dollar? The core PCE is the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure. Its outcome directly influences expectations for future interest rate decisions. Higher inflation typically supports a stronger dollar as it suggests rates may stay higher for longer, increasing the currency’s yield appeal. Q2: How does strong GDP data affect the Federal Reserve’s thinking? Robust GDP growth indicates a healthy economy that can potentially withstand tighter monetary policy. This can allow the Fed to focus more on combating inflation without immediate fear of triggering a recession, a scenario that is generally supportive for the US Dollar. Q3: What is the difference between the CPI and PCE inflation measures? While both track consumer prices, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) uses a fixed basket of goods, and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index uses a changing basket that reflects consumer substitution. The Fed prefers PCE as it provides a broader view of inflation trends. Q4: What would cause the US Dollar to weaken after this data? The dollar could weaken if core PCE inflation comes in significantly below forecasts, GDP shows a sharp slowdown, and PMI data points to contracting activity. This combination would increase bets on earlier and deeper Fed rate cuts, reducing the dollar’s interest rate advantage. Q5: Which currency pairs are most sensitive to this U.S. economic data? Major pairs like EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and USD/JPY are typically the most reactive. USD/JPY is especially sensitive due to the wide interest rate differential between the Bank of Japan and the Federal Reserve. This post US Dollar Climbs: Critical Core PCE, GDP, and PMI Data Loom, Threatening Forex Volatility first appeared on BitcoinWorld .

BlackRock IBIT Loses $84M as XRP ETFs Join $238M Weekly Exodus

U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $133.3 million in outflows on Wednesday, February 18, pushing total weekly withdrawals to $238 million. If redemptions continue through the end of the week, the funds will post their first five-week streak of outflows since March 2025. The largest single-day withdrawal came from BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), which saw more than $84 million exit the fund. Trading volume remained below $3 billion, signaling cautious participation rather than panic-driven selling. Since the start of the year, cumulative Bitcoin ETF outflows have reached $2.5 billion. Even so, total assets under management still stand at $83.6 billion, a figure that suggests institutional positioning is shifting rather than collapsing outright. Solana ETFs Break Away While Bitcoin Funds Face Pressure Ethereum ETFs recorded $41.8 million in outflows on the same day, while XRP funds saw $2.2 million leave. In contrast, Solana ETFs have now posted inflows for six consecutive trading sessions, bringing their year-to-date total to approximately $113 million. However, momentum has cooled compared to earlier months. February inflows currently stand at $9 million, versus $105 million in January and $148 million in December 2025. Since launching in 2025, U.S.-based Solana spot ETFs have accumulated nearly $700 million in assets under management. XRP funds, launched in November, have already surpassed $1 billion in AUM. The divergence may point to capital rotation within crypto exposure rather than a broad institutional retreat. Extreme Fear and the $50K Scenario The Cryptocurrency Fear and Greed Index remains in the “extreme fear” zone, even after Bitcoin rebounded from its February low near $60,000. Analysts at Standard Chartered warn that Bitcoin could fall toward $50,000 before recovering toward $100,000 by 2026. Meanwhile, CryptoQuant data shows Bitcoin’s short-term Sharpe ratio has reached levels that historically preceded strong rallies. According to analyst Ignacio Moreno De Vicente, similar extremes in the past were followed by sharp upward moves. While headlines focus on outflows, the broader context suggests measured repositioning. The $2.5 billion withdrawn this year represents roughly 3% of total Bitcoin ETF assets — a notable figure, but not yet a structural breakdown. The coming weeks will determine whether outflows accelerate into a deeper trend or stabilize as sentiment resets. For now, Bitcoin ETF markets remain under pressure — but capital is still active inside the crypto ecosystem.

Fed President: Crypto Is Useless

A top Federal Reserve official has delivered yet another scathing critique of the cryptocurrency industry..

USD/THB Exchange Rate Faces Crucial Downturn: UOB Projects Gradual Downside Bias for 2025

BitcoinWorld USD/THB Exchange Rate Faces Crucial Downturn: UOB Projects Gradual Downside Bias for 2025 SINGAPORE, March 2025 – The USD/THB exchange rate faces mounting pressure as United Overseas Bank (UOB) projects a gradual downside bias through 2025. This forecast arrives amid shifting global monetary policies and Thailand’s resilient economic fundamentals. Currency traders now closely monitor the 35.00 psychological support level. USD/THB Exchange Rate Analysis: Understanding the Downward Pressure United Overseas Bank’s research division recently published its quarterly currency outlook. The report highlights several factors contributing to the projected weakness in the USD/THB pair. Firstly, Thailand’s current account surplus continues to support baht fundamentals. Secondly, the Bank of Thailand maintains a relatively hawkish stance compared to regional peers. Thirdly, foreign direct investment inflows remain robust despite global uncertainties. Technical analysis reveals the USD/THB has broken below its 200-day moving average. This development typically signals sustained bearish momentum. The currency pair now tests crucial support around 35.20. A decisive break below this level could accelerate the decline toward 34.80. Historical data shows the baht tends to strengthen during Thailand’s high tourism season from November to February. Thai Baht Fundamentals: Economic Drivers Behind the Strength Thailand’s economic indicators provide context for the currency’s resilience. The tourism sector recovery continues exceeding expectations. Arrivals reached 85% of pre-pandemic levels in 2024. Manufacturing exports, particularly in electronics and automotive sectors, show consistent growth. The country’s foreign reserves stand at $221 billion as of January 2025. The Bank of Thailand maintains its policy rate at 2.25%. This contrasts with the Federal Reserve’s more dovish stance. The interest rate differential supports capital inflows into Thai assets. Furthermore, Thailand’s inflation remains within the central bank’s target range of 1-3%. This stability allows monetary policymakers to focus on growth support. Key USD/THB Levels and Projections Support Levels Resistance Levels UOB Projection 35.20 35.80 Q2 2025: 34.90-35.30 34.80 36.00 Q3 2025: 34.60-35.00 34.50 36.50 Q4 2025: 34.30-34.80 Regional Currency Dynamics and Comparative Analysis Asian currencies demonstrate varied performance against the US dollar. The Thai baht outperforms regional peers like the Indonesian rupiah and Philippine peso. However, it trails the Singapore dollar and Taiwanese dollar. This relative strength stems from Thailand’s balanced economic recovery. The country avoided extreme monetary stimulus during the pandemic period. Regional central bank policies create divergent currency trajectories. Bank Indonesia maintains higher rates to combat inflation. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan continues its ultra-loose monetary policy. Thailand’s middle-ground approach attracts moderate capital flows without excessive volatility. Foreign investors purchased $3.2 billion in Thai bonds during January 2025 alone. Global Factors Influencing the Dollar-Baht Relationship Federal Reserve policy remains the primary external driver for USD/THB movements. Market expectations suggest the Fed will implement two rate cuts in 2025. This dovish shift typically weakens the US dollar against emerging market currencies. However, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine create safe-haven dollar demand. China’s economic recovery significantly impacts Thailand’s trade balance. As Thailand’s largest trading partner, Chinese demand for Thai agricultural and manufactured goods supports export revenues. The China-Thailand free trade agreement, upgraded in 2024, further strengthens economic ties. Bilateral trade reached $135 billion in 2024, representing 18% annual growth. Tourism Recovery: 38.5 million visitors projected for 2025 Export Growth: Electronics and automotive sectors lead expansion FDI Inflows: Japan and China remain top investors Monetary Policy: Bank of Thailand maintains stability-focused approach Historical Context and Long-Term Trends The USD/THB exchange rate has demonstrated remarkable stability over decades. Thailand’s adoption of a managed float system in 1997 created this framework. The baht typically trades within a 10-15% annual range against the dollar. This predictability attracts long-term investors to Thai markets. Historical analysis reveals the baht strengthens during global risk-on periods. Conversely, it weakens during financial crises and pandemics. The currency recovered swiftly from the 2020 COVID-19 shock. It regained pre-pandemic levels within 18 months. This resilience reflects Thailand’s strong external position and conservative financial policies. Market Implications and Trading Considerations Currency traders adjust strategies based on UOB’s downward bias projection. Many institutions increase baht exposure in their Asian currency baskets. Exporters implement hedging programs around the 35.00 level. Importers, particularly energy companies, benefit from the stronger baht reducing dollar-denominated costs. The gradual nature of the projected decline allows for orderly market adjustments. Sudden currency movements could disrupt Thailand’s export competitiveness. The Bank of Thailand monitors the situation closely. Intervention remains possible if volatility exceeds acceptable parameters. The central bank’s stated preference is for market-determined exchange rates with smoothing operations. Conclusion The USD/THB exchange rate faces sustained downward pressure according to UOB’s analysis. Multiple factors support the Thai baht’s gradual appreciation against the US dollar. Thailand’s economic fundamentals, tourism recovery, and prudent monetary policy create favorable conditions. The USD/THB trajectory will significantly impact regional trade flows and investment decisions throughout 2025. FAQs Q1: What does “gradual downside bias” mean for USD/THB? This indicates UOB expects the US dollar to gradually weaken against the Thai baht over time, meaning the USD/THB exchange rate will likely decline, though not necessarily in a straight line or rapidly. Q2: How does Thailand’s tourism recovery affect the baht? Increased tourist arrivals bring foreign currency into Thailand, creating demand for baht to pay for local expenses and boosting the country’s current account surplus, which supports currency strength. Q3: What are the main risks to this USD/THB forecast? Key risks include unexpected Federal Reserve policy changes, geopolitical tensions increasing dollar demand, slower-than-expected Chinese economic recovery, and domestic political developments in Thailand. Q4: How do interest rate differentials impact USD/THB? When Thailand’s interest rates are higher than US rates, or when the gap narrows less than expected, it attracts foreign investment into Thai assets, increasing demand for baht and potentially weakening USD/THB. Q5: What levels should traders watch for USD/THB? Traders monitor 35.20 as immediate support, with 34.80 and 34.50 as subsequent targets. Resistance appears at 35.80 and 36.00. A break below 35.00 could accelerate downward momentum. This post USD/THB Exchange Rate Faces Crucial Downturn: UOB Projects Gradual Downside Bias for 2025 first appeared on BitcoinWorld .

Ripple’s XRPL Expands as ORQO Launches Soil Yield Product for RLUSD

ORQO Group has expanded its Soil fintech platform to the XRP Ledger. The launch allows RLUSD stablecoin holders to earn asset-backed yield through compliant on-chain vaults. The deployment marks a new phase of real-world asset integration on XRPL as demand grows for regulated yield frameworks in the stablecoin sector. The expansion follows strong early participation from users, who filled $1 million in asset pools in less than 72 hours. ORQO said more pools will open in the coming weeks as the platform scales across the network. Soil now becomes the first compliant yield protocol on XRPL designed for institutional-grade fixed returns backed by traditional assets. The move broadens Soil’s reach beyond Ethereum virtual machine networks. The platform previously operated across Ethereum, Polygon, BNB Chain, and Arbitrum. With XRPL now added, Soil extends its multi-chain footprint while supporting new utility for RLUSD stablecoin users. Soil Brings Fixed Yield Through Tokenized Real-World Assets Soil offers RLUSD holders access to fixed returns generated by financial instruments with low volatility. These include private credit, tokenized U.S. Treasuries, and market-neutral hedge fund strategies. The protocol converts these instruments into on-chain yield vaults that distribute predictable returns. The launch strengthens RLUSD’s position within XRPL as more than a payment token. RLUSD can now operate as a yield-bearing stablecoin, supported by transparent and compliant mechanisms. ORQO said the structure aligns with growing demand for asset-backed products that function across multiple networks. Nick Motz, CEO of ORQO Group and CIO of Soil, said large-scale yield infrastructure will become essential as stablecoins evolve. He said the market is shifting toward institutional-grade frameworks and that Soil aims to meet the demand with regulated and transparent operations. Industry forecasts estimate that the stablecoin market could reach $2 trillion by 2028. The growth is expected to be driven by regulatory clarity, institutional use, and the shift toward tokenized financial instruments. Soil’s expansion aligns with those trends by enabling stablecoin holders to earn steady returns backed by real assets. XRPL Gains New Infrastructure for Institutional DeFi Ripple’s XRP Ledger continues to expand its institutional tools. XRPL offers near-instant settlement and minimal transaction fees, which support high-volume financial activity. Soil selected the network for its compliance-focused architecture and its ability to settle transactions quickly. The network recently activated the XLS-81 Permissioned DEX amendment. This upgrade enables the creation of gated trading venues where only approved participants can interact. The feature is designed to meet institutional compliance requirements, including KYC and AML measures. The XLS-85 Token Escrow feature also launched. It allows conditional settlement for issued tokens, including stablecoins and tokenized assets. The upgrade provides more flexibility for institutions that require time-based or event-based settlement. The XRP Ledger Foundation confirmed that the network’s unique node list has expanded. A new validator, Squid, was added to improve resilience and consensus overlap across nodes. The foundation said validator diversity remains important for preventing network forks and ensuring strong operational performance. Despite these announcements, the XRP price has failed to recover after failing to breach resistance. At press time, the XRP price was trading at $1.40, a 1.27% decline from the 24-hour high.

YouTube Conversational AI Unleashes Revolutionary TV Experience, Transforming How We Interact with Content

BitcoinWorld YouTube Conversational AI Unleashes Revolutionary TV Experience, Transforming How We Interact with Content In a significant move that reshapes the living room entertainment landscape, YouTube has launched an experimental expansion of its conversational AI tool to television screens, gaming consoles, and streaming devices. This strategic rollout, confirmed by the platform’s official support documentation in late 2025, directly responds to Nielsen data showing YouTube now commands over 12% of total television audience time. Consequently, this positions the feature as a pivotal development for millions of households where the TV serves as the primary gateway to digital content. YouTube Conversational AI Transforms Passive Viewing into Interactive Dialogue The core functionality of this television-optimized AI tool centers on seamless interaction. Eligible users, who must be over 18, can now click a dedicated “Ask” button on their TV interface. This action summons an AI assistant designed to answer questions about the video currently playing. The system provides suggested queries based on the content’s context. Alternatively, viewers can use their remote’s microphone to pose their own questions. For example, a viewer watching a cooking tutorial can instantly ask for a list of ingredients without pausing. Similarly, someone enjoying a music video can inquire about the song’s lyrical inspiration and receive an immediate, contextual answer. This eliminates the disruptive need to switch apps or devices, creating a fluid and immersive viewing experience. The Technical and Strategic Backdrop of the TV Expansion YouTube first introduced this conversational AI on mobile and web platforms in 2024. The decision to expand to the television ecosystem is data-driven. A Nielsen report from April 2025 revealed a landmark shift: for the first time, more Americans access YouTube through their television sets than through any other device. The platform accounted for 12.4% of total TV audience time, surpassing entertainment giants like Disney and Netflix. This migration to the big screen created a clear user need for more sophisticated, hands-free interaction models beyond simple voice search. The TV experiment supports five languages: English, Hindi, Spanish, Portuguese, and Korean, reflecting YouTube’s global user base. The Intensifying Battle for the Living Room AI Interface YouTube’s move is not occurring in a vacuum. It represents the latest salvo in a heated competition among tech and media companies to dominate the conversational AI space in home entertainment. The living room has become the new frontier for AI interface wars. Amazon’s Alexa+ on Fire TV: Amazon has rolled out an enhanced Alexa+ experience on its Fire TV devices. This allows for natural, multi-turn conversations where users can ask for tailored content recommendations, hunt for specific scenes within movies, or query details about actors and filming locations. Roku’s Enhanced Voice Assistant: Roku has significantly upgraded its AI voice assistant to handle open-ended, contextual questions about movies and shows. Users can ask, “What’s this movie about?” or “How scary is it?” and receive detailed, nuanced responses. Netflix’s AI Search Tests: Netflix is also experimenting with its own AI-driven search and discovery experience, aiming to understand user intent more deeply and surface relevant content through conversation. This competitive landscape underscores a broader industry trend: moving from transactional command-based systems (“play Stranger Things”) to relational, knowledge-based assistants that understand context and content. YouTube’s Broader AI Strategy for Enhanced User Experience The conversational AI TV experiment is one component of a multi-pronged AI strategy YouTube is deploying to improve quality and engagement. Recently, the platform launched an AI feature that automatically upscales videos uploaded at lower resolutions to full HD, significantly enhancing visual quality on large TV screens. Furthermore, YouTube has introduced an AI summarizer tool designed to help viewers quickly catch up on lengthy video discussions or comment threads. The company also continues to develop an AI-driven search results carousel for more intuitive discovery. In a notable move for creators, YouTube announced in January 2025 that they will soon be able to generate Shorts using AI versions of their own likeness, opening new creative avenues. Analyzing the Impact on User Behavior and Content Consumption The introduction of conversational AI on television screens promises to fundamentally alter how audiences engage with video content. This shift has several potential implications: Potential Impact Area Description Evidence & Context Increased Engagement Interactive Q&A can increase watch time and depth of understanding, reducing passive consumption. Similar interactive features in educational apps have shown marked increases in user retention and comprehension metrics. Accessibility Enhancement Voice-first interaction provides a more accessible interface for users with mobility or vision impairments. Voice assistant usage is consistently higher among groups benefiting from hands-free technology, as noted in assistive tech reports. New Data Insights The types of questions asked provide YouTube with unprecedented data on what viewers want to know, informing future content and feature development. Platforms like Amazon have long used voice query data to refine product recommendations and understand customer intent. Educational Utility Instant access to information within tutorials, documentaries, and lectures transforms TV from an entertainment box into a learning tool. The success of platforms like Khan Academy and MasterClass highlights strong demand for convenient, high-quality learning. Additionally, the launch of a dedicated YouTube app for the Apple Vision Pro last week demonstrates the company’s commitment to immersive viewing experiences. This allows users to watch content on a virtual, theater-sized screen, suggesting YouTube’s AI ambitions may eventually extend into mixed and virtual reality environments. Conclusion YouTube’s experimental expansion of its conversational AI tool to televisions marks a critical evolution in the platform’s journey from a video repository to an intelligent, interactive media companion. By bringing this capability to the largest screen in the home, YouTube is directly addressing the proven shift in user behavior toward TV-based consumption. This move intensifies the broader competition with Amazon, Roku, and Netflix to own the conversational interface of the living room. The ultimate success of this YouTube conversational AI experiment will hinge on its accuracy, speed, and the genuine utility it provides to viewers seeking a deeper, more engaging, and seamless way to interact with the world’s largest video library. As this technology matures, it has the potential to redefine not just how we watch, but how we learn and connect through video content. FAQs Q1: What is YouTube’s new conversational AI tool for TVs? A1: It is an experimental feature that allows eligible users to ask an AI assistant questions about the video they are watching directly on their smart TV, gaming console, or streaming device, without leaving the YouTube app or pausing playback. Q2: How do I use the YouTube AI assistant on my TV? A2: If you are part of the experiment, you will see an “Ask” button on your screen. Click it to see suggested questions or use your remote’s microphone button to ask your own question verbally about the video content. Q3: Who currently has access to this YouTube TV AI feature? A3: Access is limited to a select group of users over the age of 18. The experiment is currently available in English, Hindi, Spanish, Portuguese, and Korean. Q4: Why is YouTube expanding this AI tool to TVs now? A4: Data from Nielsen in April 2025 showed that YouTube consumption on television screens has surpassed other devices, with the platform accounting for over 12% of total TV time. This makes the TV the most important screen for deploying new interactive features. Q5: How does YouTube’s TV AI compare to assistants from Amazon or Roku? A5: While Amazon’s Alexa+ and Roku’s assistant focus on general content discovery and control across platforms, YouTube’s tool is specifically designed for deep, contextual Q&A about the YouTube video currently playing, creating a more integrated and content-specific experience. This post YouTube Conversational AI Unleashes Revolutionary TV Experience, Transforming How We Interact with Content first appeared on BitcoinWorld .

Bitcoin rises, but gains capped amid uncertainty over outlook for interest rates

Brad Garlinghouse says CLARITY Act could pass by April as Polymarket odds hit 85%

Brad Garlinghouse has put the odds of the CLARITY Act passing by April is at 80%.

Ethereum Price Prediction: Alarming Analyst Warning Sees ETH Dropping to $1,500 Without Vital Catalyst

BitcoinWorld Ethereum Price Prediction: Alarming Analyst Warning Sees ETH Dropping to $1,500 Without Vital Catalyst San Francisco, April 2025 – A stark warning from a leading crypto analyst now casts a shadow over Ethereum’s immediate future, suggesting the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency could face a significant drop to the $1,500 level without a crucial new catalyst to reverse its momentum. This analysis arrives as ETH contends with an extended period of decline, raising critical questions about its near-term trajectory and the broader digital asset market’s health. Ethereum Price Prediction: The $1,500 Warning Signal Bitwise investment analyst Max Shannon issued a detailed caution this week, reported by DL News. He projects that Ethereum (ETH) could decline by approximately 22% from recent levels. This potential drop would bring its price down to around $1,500. Shannon bases this sobering Ethereum price prediction on a clear lack of positive triggers in the current market environment. Consequently, investors and traders are now closely monitoring for any sign of a shift. Shannon specifically highlighted the absence of both macroeconomic and token-specific catalysts. These catalysts are essential for restoring bullish momentum and positive investor sentiment. The analyst’s warning serves as a critical data point for market participants evaluating risk. Furthermore, it underscores the heightened sensitivity of crypto assets to external and internal drivers. Contextualizing the Downturn: Six Months of Declines This latest Ethereum price prediction does not exist in a vacuum. It follows a notably challenging period for the asset. Ethereum has recorded six consecutive months of negative price performance. This prolonged downturn represents one of its longest losing streaks in recent history. Such a trend naturally pressures investor confidence and can trigger technical selling. Several interconnected factors contribute to this sustained weakness. Firstly, broader financial market conditions have remained uncertain. Interest rate expectations and geopolitical tensions often influence capital flows into risk assets like cryptocurrency. Secondly, network activity and fee revenue, key fundamental metrics for Ethereum, have faced fluctuations post major upgrades. Lastly, regulatory developments continue to create an atmosphere of caution for institutional and retail investors alike. The Bitcoin Correlation Factor Max Shannon’s analysis importantly identifies Bitcoin’s performance as a pivotal factor. He notes that Ethereum maintains a high statistical correlation with Bitcoin (BTC). This means their prices generally move in the same direction over time. However, Ethereum typically exhibits greater volatility. When Bitcoin struggles or enters a consolidation phase, Ethereum often experiences amplified downward pressure. This relationship is crucial for understanding market dynamics. Bitcoin, as the largest cryptocurrency, often sets the tone for the entire sector. Its price action influences trader sentiment across the board. Therefore, a bearish or stagnant period for Bitcoin frequently translates into more pronounced challenges for altcoins like Ethereum, despite their individual technological merits. Understanding the Need for a Catalyst The core of the analyst’s warning hinges on the necessity for a new catalyst. In financial markets, a catalyst is an event or development that alters an asset’s supply-demand balance. For Ethereum to reverse its current trajectory, such a catalyst appears indispensable. The market currently lacks a clear, imminent driver to spark renewed buying interest. Potential catalysts could emerge from several areas: Macroeconomic Shifts: A decisive move by the Federal Reserve toward rate cuts could reinvigorate investment in risk assets. Ethereum-Specific Developments: Accelerated progress on scaling solutions, a surge in decentralized application (dApp) adoption, or a significant protocol upgrade could serve as a token-specific catalyst. Institutional Adoption: The approval of a spot Ethereum ETF or major corporate treasury announcements could provide substantial momentum. Regulatory Clarity: Positive and definitive regulatory frameworks in key markets like the United States would reduce uncertainty. Without a development from one of these categories, the market may continue to drift or face further selling pressure. Analysts consistently monitor these fronts for signals of change. Historical Precedents and Market Psychology Ethereum has experienced similar periods of extended decline before. Each previous instance eventually concluded with a reversal fueled by a new narrative or technological breakthrough. For example, the 2018-2020 bear market ended with the rise of decentralized finance (DeFi) and non-fungible tokens (NFTs), largely built on Ethereum. Market psychology plays a significant role during these phases. Prolonged downturns can lead to capitulation, where discouraged sellers exit their positions. This process can sometimes create a foundation for a new price floor. However, predicting the exact timing of this shift remains exceptionally difficult. Current analysis, like Shannon’s, focuses on identifying risk levels and necessary conditions for recovery rather than timing a precise bottom. Comparative Asset Performance To provide context, the table below illustrates a simplified comparison of recent performance drivers for major assets. This highlights the unique pressures on Ethereum. Asset Recent Pressure Potential Near-Term Catalyst Ethereum (ETH) High correlation to BTC, low on-chain momentum, lack of new narrative. Spot ETF approval, major protocol upgrade, surge in layer-2 activity. Bitcoin (BTC) Macro uncertainty, ETF flow variability. Macro policy shift, institutional inflow surge. Traditional Tech Stocks Valuation concerns, interest rate outlook. Earnings outperformance, AI product breakthroughs. Conclusion The Ethereum price prediction of a potential fall to $1,500 underscores a critical juncture for the asset. Analyst Max Shannon’s warning emphasizes the current absence of a vital catalyst needed to break the cycle of decline. While Ethereum’s fundamental technology and position in the crypto ecosystem remain robust, short-term price action is subject to market sentiment, Bitcoin’s influence, and macroeconomic forces. Investors should consider this analysis as a risk assessment within a broader, long-term framework. The market’s next move will likely depend on the emergence of a clear, positive trigger from the macroeconomic landscape or from within the Ethereum network itself. FAQs Q1: What is the main reason for the $1,500 Ethereum price prediction? The prediction primarily cites a lack of new catalysts—both macroeconomic and specific to Ethereum—to restore positive momentum and investor sentiment after six months of declines. Q2: How does Bitcoin affect Ethereum’s price? Ethereum has a high correlation with Bitcoin, meaning their prices tend to move in the same direction. ETH often moves with greater volatility, so BTC’s performance significantly influences ETH’s trend. Q3: What could prevent Ethereum from falling to $1,500? A new, positive catalyst could prevent such a drop. Potential catalysts include favorable macroeconomic news, a key Ethereum protocol development, a spot ETF approval, or a surge in network usage and adoption. Q4: Has Ethereum been down for six months in a row before? While prolonged downturns are not uncommon in crypto’s volatile history, a six-month consecutive decline is a significant trend that highlights the current bearish pressure and lack of positive triggers. Q5: Should investors be worried about this prediction? Analyst predictions are assessments of potential risk based on current conditions. They serve as one data point for investors. Prudent strategy involves considering such warnings within a diversified, long-term investment plan and personal risk tolerance. This post Ethereum Price Prediction: Alarming Analyst Warning Sees ETH Dropping to $1,500 Without Vital Catalyst first appeared on BitcoinWorld .

US Stocks Slip Late as Oil Rises, Fed Signals and PCE Data Loom

U.S. equities traded modestly lower late Thursday as rising oil prices, geopolitical tensions, and cautious Federal Reserve signals tempered momentum from the prior session’s AI-fueled advance. Stocks Ease in Late Trading as Oil Hits Six-Month High As of 3:30 p.m. EST on Feb. 19, just before Wall Street’s close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average stood

XRP Holders Face Critical Moment as Analysts Highlight Rare Market Setup

After losing more than half its value from the 2025 peak, XRP has entered a period of calm that may prove temporary. Analysts say the current consolidation phase near $1.40 coincides with several rare market conditions, from key inflation data to multi-year technical confirmations, that could influence the asset’s next major move. Related Reading: Coinbase CEO Sees ‘Win-Win’ Outcome For Delayed Crypto Market Structure Bill At the center of attention is upcoming U.S. inflation data, alongside growing debate among analysts over whether XRP is forming a long-term base or preparing for another corrective leg. Macro Data and Market Liquidity Take Center Stage XRP has been trading around the $1.40–$1.45 region as investors await the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report , the inflation gauge closely monitored by the Federal Reserve. The data, published by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, could influence expectations around interest rates. Recent real-time inflation estimates suggest cooling price pressures, raising hopes that monetary conditions could eventually ease. Analysts note that softer inflation could support crypto through improved liquidity, while stronger-than-expected data may strengthen the dollar and weigh on speculative assets. Market commentators increasingly argue that XRP’s performance is tied less to crypto-specific developments and more to broader financial conditions. Several analysts say liquidity has yet to fully return to markets following the 2025 cycle peak, suggesting volatility may persist in the near term. Technical Structure Signals a Pivotal Phase From a technical perspective, XRP remains in a broader downtrend after falling more than 60% from its July 2025 high near $3.66. However, recent price action has drawn attention after a sharp drop to $1.11 successfully retested a multi-year breakout level formed in late 2024. Analysts describe the current $1.30–$1.80 range as historically underdeveloped, meaning the market may be building structural support before a larger move. Fibonacci projections cited by traders outline potential upside targets near $5 and, in extended scenarios, much higher levels if bullish momentum returns. Short-term indicators still show sellers maintaining a slight edge, though downside momentum has slowed compared with earlier in the year. Forecast Revisions Reflect Mixed Outlook Institutional expectations remain divided. Standard Chartered recently lowered its 2026 XRP price forecast from $8 to $2.8, citing challenging market conditions. Despite the downgrade, the bank maintained optimistic longer-term projections extending toward the end of the decade. Meanwhile, some analysts warn the market may not have reached a full cycle bottom yet, pointing to historical patterns that suggest consolidation could continue through 2026. Others highlight recurring macro structures that previously preceded major rallies. Related Reading: Russia May Block Global Crypto Exchanges Ahead Of New Regulatory Framework – Report According to market data from CoinMarketCap and derivatives analytics by CoinGlass, XRP remains under pressure but is showing signs of stabilization. Analysts say the market now reflects a clash between short-term weakness and longer-term optimism, with global liquidity likely to determine the next move. Cover image from ChatGPT, XRPUSD chart from Tradingview

Crypto Markets Brace for Volatility as Key Decisions Loom

Cryptocurrencies expect increased volatility on Friday due to major U.S. political and economic decisions. Continue Reading: Crypto Markets Brace for Volatility as Key Decisions Loom The post Crypto Markets Brace for Volatility as Key Decisions Loom appeared first on COINTURK NEWS .

Bitcoin Moves While You Sleep: Here’s How to Never Miss a Pump Again

Check out the new info box on coin chart pages! Now you can get a feel for the market in a single glance. Continue Reading: Bitcoin Moves While You Sleep: Here’s How to Never Miss a Pump Again The post Bitcoin Moves While You Sleep: Here’s How to Never Miss a Pump Again appeared first on COINTURK NEWS .

Ethereum Tests $2,000 as Whale Tug-of-War Keeps Breakout on Hold

Bitcoin Slips Below Trendline as $70K Rejection Shifts Near-Term Bias

Bitcoin Slides as Hawkish Fed Minutes Reinforce ’Higher for Longer’

Ethereum Sits in Compression as $1,800 Support Faces Renewed Pressure

Tightening Bitcoin Bollinger Bands forecast explosive price move, but which way?

The Bollinger Bands indicator has narrowed to its tightest level on record, a rare technical setup that analysts say is a sign of a pending directional move.

XRP/USD Tests 1.45 Support as Macro Stress Keeps Crypto on Edge